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Is the United States still a "superpower"? How are the rising powers establishing themselves in international politics and security? What is the future of global stability?
For over a decade, Bruce Jones has had a front-row seat as the emerging powers—principally China, India, and Brazil, but also Turkey, Indonesia, Korea, and others—thrust themselves onto the global stage. From Delhi to Doha to Beijing to Brasilia, he's met with the politicians, diplomats, business leaders, and scholars of those powers as they craft their strategies for rising influence—and with senior American officials as they forge their response.
In Still Ours to Lead, Jones tells a nuanced story of American leadership. He artfully examines the tension between the impulse to rival the United States and the incentives for restraint and cooperation among the rising powers. That balance of rivalry and restraint provides the United States with a continued ability to solve problems and to manage crises at roughly the same rate as when American dominance was unquestioned. Maintaining the balance is central to the question of whether we will live in a stable or unstable system in the period to come. But it just so happens that this challenge plays to America's unique strength—its unparalleled ability to pull together broad and disparate coalitions for action. To succeed, America must adapt its leadership to new realities.
- Sales Rank: #1068249 in Books
- Published on: 2014-03-17
- Original language: English
- Number of items: 1
- Dimensions: 9.00" h x 6.00" w x .75" l, .0 pounds
- Binding: Paperback
- 263 pages
From Publishers Weekly
03/17/2014
When is America's time as leader of the free world up? This is the question on the minds of many Americans and non-Americans alike, and the answer according to Jones in his convincing new book is not as soon you think. Jones, director of the International Order and Strategy project at the Brookings Intuition, argues that America is currently on top and, as possessor of the world's largest economy, owner of the denomination of the global reserve currency, in a position that is tough to topple. Jones analyzes the positions of emerging powers, focusing mainly on Brazil, India, China, and sometimes Russia, and identifies a mindset behind them which involves a constant balance between rivalry and restraint. He puts forth reasonable and realistic reasons why their takeover(s) is approaching but not imminent. Like it or not, Jones evenhandedly points out, the nations of the world whether current powers, emerging powers or declining powers are interconnected through trade, economy, geopolitics, fuel energy, threat of terrorism, climate control, and a myriad of other shared interests, so no one on the top or the bottom is positioned to rock the international waters. The result is an interesting, relevant, and accessible read. (Feb.)
Review
"An indispensable antidote both to boosterish America-first-ism and to doomy Asia-first-ism. Jones demonstrates that the 'rise of the rest' need not be a zero-sum game for the U.S., because new powers like China depend on the international system that the U.S. leads. Jones shows us that optimism can be based, not on ideology or blind faith, but on a hard-headed understanding of global trends."―James Traub, columnist at Foreign Policy and author of The Freedom Agenda
"Bruce Jones's analysis is persuasive; better still, he provides a detailed manual for American coalitional diplomacy to address problems from climate change to maritime security. Still Ours to Lead accepts the reality of rising powers while reminding established powers, above all the United States, of just how much they stand to lose if they fail to lead."―Anne-Marie Slaughter, president and CEO, New America Foundation, and Professor of Politics and International Affairs, Princeton University
"This smart and important book provides a blueprint for American global leadership in the coming decades. With all the hype about American decline, following a period of what some have called American hubris, Bruce Jones offers a clear-eyed assessment of the true state of the international order and a realistic path ahead for the U.S. His analysis and his prescriptions offer wisdom for all sides in the debate."―Robert Kagan, historian and author of The World America Made
About the Author
Bruce Jones is a senior fellow and director of the International Order and Strategy project at Brookings, and a consulting professor at Stanford University. He has past experience in Middle East peace negotiations, crisis management in the Balkans, and intergovernmental negotiations on security and transnational threats. He is also chair of the New York University Center on International Cooperation.
His other books include Shaping the Emerging World (Brookings 2013), Power & Responsibility (Brookings 2009) and the forthcoming Risk Pivot (Brookings 2014).
Most helpful customer reviews
2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
A fascinating game of chess
By digsblues
In this very interesting book, the author tackles the perception by most Americans and foreigners that the US will soon no longer be the most powerful leader in the world. He urges that there is no time to waste, and we need to act with confidence and not withdraw from international leadership.
There are compelling reasons why the US should be able to hold our position as the most powerful nation. We have the largest and strongest military presence, and have honed and tested our high-tech weaponry in the trillion dollar conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan.
The US dollar is the international currency which gives us an economic advantage. At some point in the near future it may be replaced by the Chinese reminbi or EU euro. However, there is room for more than one global currency and the US will still be well positioned.
We police and patrol the world wide shipping lanes which enable international trade and the export and import of most of the oil and gasoline. We also protect against piracy.
Another strength is our allies and the cooperation we've established. Most of the big players are our allies, and even the countries that are not, have common economic interests.
We took the lead in preventing a world wide financial collapse in the last few years. We've had some success in fighting terrorism.
The author likens the world stage to a chess game. But instead of only two players, there are many emerging giants making moves.
All in all, Still Ours to Lead: America, Rising Powers, and the Tension between Rivalry and Restraint was an excellent look into why we can continue to lead, and the difficult balance using restraint and cooperation. There were a couple of issues that bothered me, though. First, was the glossing over of our debt problem, the cost of servicing that debt, and the expense of entitlement problems. The author explains that the US has been in worse debt before, at the end of World War II, and overcame that. He seems to think we can do it again, but gave no particulars.
The other thing that bothered me, and may worry other Americans is the fact that the US has one of the most sophisticated intelligent systems. But can we trust ours? I was convinced that we should risk our warfighters' lives in Iraq because of the evidence of weapons of mass destruction. We lost thousands of soldiers and mortgaged the future of the next generation on what turned out to be false information. Whether the cost was worth all the sacrifice remains to be seen.
I hope many others will read about these very important problems and issues. It made me more optimistic for our future as a world leader.
2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
One Third Provocative, One Third Delusional, One Third Ignorant
By Robert David STEELE Vivas
I was given this book as a gift, by someone who knew I can recite from memory the ten high level threats to humanity (as identified and prioritized by the UN High Level Panel on Threats, Challenges, and Change, and reported out in A More Secure World: Our Shared Responsibility--Report of the Secretary-General's High-level Panel on Threats, Challenges and Change, which is also available free online as a PDF.
My first impressions were negative. On a second pass I found more to appreciate, but the most compelling impression I was left with is that Obama is Bush and the Brookings Institution has lost its moral and intellectual compass.
One Third Provocative
To the extent that good is to be found in the two-terms of the ObamaBiden Administration, this book serves as a fine guide. I wondered more than once which foreign policy position the author was applying for appointment to. Sadly, what the author offers in the way of positive must be construed by any realist grounded in international reality as a second application of lipstick on the pig, the first being when the neo-conswervatives and Wall Street successfully trotted Obama out as the savior of the two-party tyranny. [I credit the term to Theresa Amato's Grand Illusion: The Myth of Voter Choice in a Two-Party Tyranny -- it is not possible to be a serious observer of American idiocy without first understanding that there is no real difference between the extremists of the right and the extremists of the left -- they are both toxic.
One Third Delusional
This author is an apologist for the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank. There is nothing in this book about the reality that Wall Street and the US Federal Reserve exploded multiple national economies and the US economy, while the IMF and World Bank and various secret agreements signed by corrupt elites on both sides have generally perpetuated poverty. For everything the author cannot bring himself to acknowledge, try Confessions of an Economic Hit Man and Griftopia: A Story of Bankers, Politicians, and the Most Audacious Power Grab in American History. For the history -- there is none in this book, add Open Veins of Latin America: Five Centuries of the Pillage of a Continent.
While the book was largely written before the Edward Snowden debacle -- or its spin-off with Angela Merkel, among other world leaders -- the author seriously overstates the alignment of European allies and the USA and his endnotes on the NSA breaches downplay the matter to the point of gross irresponsibility. This is not a man who can bring himself to acknowledge that NSA has cost and will cost the US telecommunications sector tens of billions of dollars in lost business, both in software and hardware and now in cloud services.
One Third Ignorant
I have left the book at four stars because there is some good in this book, even if it is only in the presentation of what passes for reasoned policy dialog these days. Without that this would be a three-star book at best. The ignorance is profound. This entire book demeans the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) without once acknowledging that they represent -- along with Indonesia -- the demographic power of the planet. Minister-Mentor Lee Kuan Yew has emphasized this many times, but Americans are not very well read and this author misses both that reality and the second harsher reality: the BRICS are creating an alternative global financial system AND an alternative global Internet. When the US used SWIFT against Iran, the Chinese were instantly ready with an alternative to SWIFT. Over 57 countires are actively preparing to abandon the dollar as the reserve currency and move to what will probably be a gold-backed Yuan with a composite twist. There is now an alternative to both the IMF and the World Bank.
This is not a book that offers anything useful with respect to responsible attention to the ten high-level threats to humanity, the twelve core policies from Agriculture to Water that must be harmonized, nor, as I note above, the twelve core demographic challengers defining the future. This is a book in which our pupported elite are talking amongst themselves, to no good end.
Better books still today (for which I have provided a summary review at Amazon and at Phi Beta Iota the Public Intelligence Blog)
Full Spectrum Diplomacy and Grand Strategy: Reforming the Structure and Culture of U.S. Foreign Policy
Intelligence and U.S. Foreign Policy: Iraq, 9/11, and Misguided Reform
Seven Sins of American Foreign Policy (Great Questions in Politics Series)
The Folly of War: American Foreign Policy, 1898-2005
Preparing America's Foreign Policy for the Twenty-first Century
This book -- as with so many others I do not bother to review -- misses the core point that would make the book's title true: the ONLY thing we can offer at this juncture is intelligence with integrity, and that is not to be found in the US Government today -- nor in the various leech elements that surround it. My 2 minute lecture on this point at the Wilson Center can be found by searching for YouTube Steele Scowcroft.
Absent a restoration of electoral and governance integrity in the USA in 2016 or 2020, the only thing the US leads the world in right now is legalized crime.
Best wishes to all,
Robert David STEELE Vivas
INTELLIGENCE for EARTH: Clarity, Diversity, Integrity, & Sustainability
2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
One Man's Opinion
By Andy in Washington
Your opinion of this book will probably depend on what you are expecting to get out of it. Reading this type of book is my hobby, and I am much more interesting in well-argued, thought-stimulating prose rather than a worked out solution to the world's problems. Having said that, I was mostly satisfied with the book, although there were a few shortcomings.
=== The Good Stuff ===
* Bruce Jones writes well, and is not afraid to take a position on the worlds issues. He captures a nice mix of current trends in the world, including the rise of China, Brazil, India and Russia, the post-industrial trends of the US Economy, and the economic patterns of trade. He also analyzes the military capabilities of these same countries, and attempts to tie all this together.
* Jones would argue that the US is not in as much "trouble" as pundits would have us believe. I won't spoil the thunder of the book, but he makes the case for the US still being a presence in the world for some time, both based on its military and economic prowess. While I am not sure he makes a logical proof of this, he certainly makes some well-reasoned arguments. To be fair, I am not sure you can "prove" this- as with anything involving human events, the best you can do is forecast trends.
* There is a fair amount of detail in the book, but Jones does not get bogged down in the details and minutia of statistics. In some cases he paints with a pretty broad brush, but that is just the nature of these types of books. I am reasonably well read on this subject, so I didn't learn a lot of factual information from the book, but i did enjoy seeing Jones' arguments laid out, and enjoyed trying to poke holes in them.
=== The Not-So-Good Stuff ===
* Jones equates economic and military power, and bounces between the two fo them as if they are equivalent. I don't believe they are. The Asian Tigers are not really military powers, but carry quite the economic wallop, while even economic basket-cases like North Korea have some military resources.
* The biggest problem I had with the book is the lack of dissenting opinion and analysis of how the opinions presented could be incorrect. For example, Jones makes much of the economic power of the US and its allies versus countries considered hostile to the US. But this is an overly simplified view...remember that France was the biggest trading partner of Nazi Germany in the late '30s. So while it may be comforting to know that many of our military allies are economically powerful, there is not a 100% correlation between economic and military relationships.
=== Summary ===
I enjoyed the book, simply because it took a position, make a case for it and provided real data to support the conclusions. I would have been much happier to see opposing arguments and the rebuttals to them, If you enjoy this type of work, even if you don't agree with the conclusions, you will probably find the book worth your time.
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